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Updated · Week 10 · 50,000 seasons played out

Tennessee Titans playoff chances

The Titans make the playoffs in fewer than 1 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is less than a 1% chance as of week 10.

TEN Tennessee Titans

The Titans make the playoffs in fewer than 1 of every 100 seasons we play out. At 1-8 they sit 15th in the AFC, 8 spots outside the playoff places.

  • 1-8Record
  • 15thin the AFC today
  • <1in 100 win the AFC South
  • 0since last week

Next game at the Cowboys (week 11)

PLAYOFFS102030405040302010<1in 100

The ball shows how far the Titans are from the playoffs. The end zone is 100 in 100.

100 seasons, one dot each

  • 0 win the AFC South
  • 0 get in as a wild card
  • 100 miss the playoffs

Chance after each weekDown 26 since week 1

100500Wk 1Wk 4Wk 7Now<1

What the Titans need to make the playoffs

Magic numberNeeds helpThe Titans cannot lock up a playoff spot on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, other results could keep them out.
AFC South magic numberNeeds helpThe Titans cannot win the AFC South on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, they need another team to slip.
Elimination number44 more losses knock the Titans out, whatever else happens. 3 more losses could be enough if tiebreakers go against them.

These three are proved, not played out: we check every way the season can still finish. How the proof works

If they win every game left, they get in 30 times in 100. Each row is a final record and how often it was enough.

  1. 8-95 in 100Happens fewer than 1 time in 100
  2. 7-10 or worse<1 in 100Most likely finish. Happens more than 99 times in 100

Titans playoff scenarios for week 10

Next game, week 11 at Cowboys Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET

If they win<1
Today<1
If they lose<1

A small swing. Winning instead of losing is worth 0 in 100. The Titans win this game 29 times in 100.

The Titans do not play in week 10.

Titans clinching scenarios for week 10

No. The Titans cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Titans be eliminated in week 10?

No. The Titans cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Every answer here is proved from the results still possible, with the league's tiebreakers through conference record. Clinching scenarios for every team

Who Titans fans should root for in week 10

No other game this week moves the Titans by more than 1 in 100.

Try your own Titans playoff scenarios

Tap a result. We replay the season 6,000 times on your device and move the ball.

Titans games left

  1. Wk 11at CowboysSun, Nov 22 · wins 29 in 100
  2. Wk 12at JaguarsSun, Nov 29 · wins 14 in 100
  3. Wk 13vs CommandersSun, Dec 6 · wins 45 in 100
  4. Wk 14at LionsSun, Dec 13 · wins 20 in 100
  5. Wk 15vs ColtsSun, Dec 20 · wins 48 in 100
  6. Wk 16at RaidersSun, Dec 27 · wins 33 in 100
  7. Wk 17vs SteelersSun, Jan 3 · wins 32 in 100
  8. Wk 18at TexansSun, Jan 10 · wins 26 in 100

Other games in week 10

  1. Rams at CardinalsSun, Nov 15
  2. Seahawks at RaidersSun, Nov 15
  3. 49ers at CowboysSun, Nov 15
  4. Steelers at BengalsSun, Nov 15
  5. Chargers at RavensMon, Nov 16

Titans playoff picture today

The Titans are 1-8 and sit 15th in the AFC. They are 4.5 games behind the Browns, who hold the last playoff place.

They are 4th in the AFC South, 6 games behind the Jaguars.

If the playoffs started today, the Titans would miss out.

Last 5:LWLLLThey have lost 3 in a row.

Our strength rating puts them 31st of 32, 5.7 points worse than an average team. The Titans made the playoffs in 1 of the last 5 seasons (2021).

See every seed in the AFC playoff picture and today's playoff bracket.

AFC South standings

TeamRecordIn divisionPlayoffsWin division
JAX Jaguars7-22-19998
HOU Texans3-62-1122
IND Colts3-71-21<1
TEN Titans1-81-2<1<1

Titans playoff odds by seed

How often each seed came up, out of 100 seasons.

  1. 1st seed bye week<1
  2. 2nd seed<1
  3. 3rd seed<1
  4. 4th seed last home game<1
  5. 5th seed<1
  6. 6th seed<1
  7. 7th seed<1
  8. Miss the playoffs99+

How far the Titans can go

The Titans playoff odds for each round, out of 100. We play the bracket in every season, up to the Super Bowl.

  1. Make the playoffs<1in 100
  2. Reach the divisional round<1in 100
  3. Reach the conference title game<1in 100
  4. Reach the Super Bowl<1in 100
  5. Win the Super Bowl<1in 100

Titans remaining schedule

The Titans have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 37-34-1, the 10th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

WeekDateOpponentTheir recordChance to win
11Sun, Nov 22at Cowboys4-5 29 in 100
12Sun, Nov 29at Jaguars7-2 14 in 100
13Sun, Dec 6vs Commanders3-5-1 45 in 100
14Sun, Dec 13at Lions7-2 20 in 100
15Sun, Dec 20vs Colts3-7 48 in 100
16Sun, Dec 27at Raiders4-5 33 in 100
17Sun, Jan 3vs Steelers6-2 32 in 100
18Sun, Jan 10at Texans3-6 26 in 100

Every game this week, with kickoff times in your own time zone, is on the NFL games this week page. The Titans bye is in week 9. Every team's week off is in our guide to NFL bye weeks 2026.

Titans results and how their playoff chances moved

Each row shows the playoff chance once that week was complete.

WeekDateOpponentResultPlayoff chance after
1Sun, Sep 13vs JetsLost 10 to 2326 in 100
2Sun, Sep 20vs EaglesLost 20 to 2422 in 100 -4
3Sun, Sep 27at GiantsLost 7 to 1211 in 100 -11
4Sun, Oct 4at RavensLost 18 to 247 in 100 -4
5Sun, Oct 11vs TexansLost 3 to 261 in 100 -6
6Sun, Oct 18at ColtsWon 26 to 203 in 100 +2
7Sun, Oct 25vs BrownsLost 24 to 271 in 100 -2
8Sun, Nov 1at BengalsLost 36 to 43<1 in 100 -1
10Sun, Nov 15vs JaguarsLost 23 to 40week not finished

If the Titans miss the playoffs: draft position

  • 99+in 100 miss the playoffs
  • No. 3average first round pick
  • 87in 100 get a top 5 pick
  • 29in 100 get the first pick

If the Titans miss the playoffs, their own first round pick lands at about No. 3 on average. They end up with the first overall pick in 29 of 100 seasons and with a top 5 pick in 87.

Picks 1 to 18 go to the teams that miss the playoffs, worst record first. Trades are not included.

Tiebreakers in play for the Titans

These ties are being broken in today's standings.

  • BehindMIA The Dolphins are ahead of TEN the Titans on conference record.

The steps follow the league's tiebreaking procedures. See every step or read our guide to NFL tiebreakers.

How we got these numbers

Three steps, run again after every game window.

  1. Rate every teamWe rate every team from the points in its games so far.
  2. Play out the seasonEvery game left is played out 50,000 times.
  3. Seed every seasonEach of those seasons is seeded with the real NFL tiebreakers.

The result

TEN <1 in 100

The Titans made the playoffs in fewer than 1 of every 100 seasons.

Clinched and eliminated are proved, not played out. They and the magic numbers are worked out another way. They are proved from every result still possible, so they are certain, not likely. How the proof works

✓Checked Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET. Our seeding matches the official standings for 32 of 32 teams. How it works

Titans playoff questions

What are the Titans playoff chances right now?

The Titans make the playoffs in fewer than 1 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is less than a 1% chance. At 1-8 they sit 15th in the AFC, 8 spots outside the playoff places. Updated Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET.

Can the Titans still make the playoffs?

Only just. The Titans made the playoffs in fewer than 1 of every 100 seasons we played out. They are 4.5 games behind the Browns, who hold the last playoff place. If they win every game left, they get in 30 times in 100.

What do the Titans need to make the playoffs?

In our runs a final record of 8-9 got in 5 times in 100. If they win every game left, they get in 30 times in 100.

Are the Titans eliminated from the playoffs?

No, not yet. The Titans still have a path, but they made the playoffs in fewer than 1 of every 100 seasons we played out. 4 more losses knock the Titans out, whatever else happens. 3 more losses could be enough if tiebreakers go against them.

What is the Titans magic number?

The Titans do not have a magic number yet. The Titans cannot lock up a playoff spot on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, other results could keep them out. The Titans cannot win the AFC South on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, they need another team to slip.

What are the Titans playoff scenarios for week 10?

The Titans do not play in week 10. Their next game is at the Cowboys on Sun, Nov 22.

Can the Titans clinch a playoff spot this week?

No. The Titans cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Titans be eliminated this week?

No. The Titans cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Who should Titans fans root for this week?

No other game in week 10 moves the Titans by more than 1 in 100.

Who do the Titans play next?

Next they play at the Cowboys on Sun, Nov 22. The result barely moves their chance.

Can the Titans still win the AFC South?

The Titans win the AFC South in fewer than 1 of 100. They are 4th in the AFC South, 6 games behind the Jaguars.

What are the Titans Super Bowl chances?

The Titans reach the Super Bowl in fewer than 1 of every 100 seasons we play out and win it in fewer than 1.

How hard is the Titans remaining schedule?

The Titans have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 37-34-1, the 10th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

More playoff chances