Home › NFL playoff picture
Updated · Week 10 · 50,000 seasons played out
NFL playoff picture
The AFC seeds today are Bills (8-1), Chiefs (7-2), Jaguars (7-2), Steelers (6-2), Broncos (7-2), Bengals (6-2) and Browns (6-4). The NFC seeds today are 49ers (7-1), Lions (7-2), Giants (5-3-1), Panthers (4-5), Vikings (7-2), Bears (7-2) and Packers (6-4).
AFC playoff picture
Seeds 1 to 4 lead their divisions. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards. See what a wild card is and how many wins it takes.
- 1BUFBuffalo Bills8-1 AFC East leader, week off in round one99+ in 100
- 2KCKansas City Chiefs7-2 AFC West leader96 in 100
- 3JAXJacksonville Jaguars7-2 AFC South leader99 in 100
- 4PITPittsburgh Steelers6-2 AFC North leader85 in 100
- 5DENDenver Broncos7-2 Wild card92 in 100
- 6CINCincinnati Bengals6-2 Wild card94 in 100
- 7CLECleveland Browns6-4 Wild card50 in 100
In the hunt
- 8NENew England Patriots5-5 First team out41 in 100
- 9LVLas Vegas Raiders4-5 AFC West20 in 100
- 10BALBaltimore Ravens4-5 AFC North10 in 100
- 11HOUHouston Texans3-6 AFC South12 in 100
- 12INDIndianapolis Colts3-7 AFC South1 in 100
- 13NYJNew York Jets2-8 AFC East<1 in 100
- 14MIAMiami Dolphins1-8 AFC East<1 in 100
- 15TENTennessee Titans1-8 AFC South<1 in 100
- 16LACLos Angeles Chargers0-8 AFC West<1 in 100
The AFC race on one field
The further right a marker sits, the better that team's playoff chance.
Tiebreakers in play
- The Steelers are ahead of the Bengals on head to head.
- The Chiefs are ahead of the Broncos on division record.
- The Chiefs are ahead of the Jaguars on conference record.
- The Raiders are ahead of the Ravens on conference record.
- The Dolphins are ahead of the Titans on conference record.
Every step is in our guide to NFL tiebreakers.
AFC chances in full
| Seed | Team | Record | Playoff chance | Win division | Top seed | Since last week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF Bills | 8-1 | 99+ | 97 | 42 | +2 |
| 2 | KC Chiefs | 7-2 | 96 | 57 | 14 | +5 |
| 3 | JAX Jaguars | 7-2 | 99 | 98 | 18 | +1 |
| 4 | PIT Steelers | 6-2 | 85 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 5 | DEN Broncos | 7-2 | 92 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 6 | CIN Bengals | 6-2 | 94 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 7 | CLE Browns | 6-4 | 50 | 7 | <1 | +20 |
| 8 | NE Patriots | 5-5 | 41 | 3 | <1 | -20 |
| 9 | LV Raiders | 4-5 | 20 | 2 | <1 | +2 |
| 10 | BAL Ravens | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | <1 | +1 |
| 11 | HOU Texans | 3-6 | 12 | 2 | <1 | -13 |
| 12 | IND Colts | 3-7 | 1 | <1 | <1 | 0 |
| 13 | NYJ Jets | 2-8 | <1 | <1 | <1 | -1 |
| 14 | MIA Dolphins | 1-8 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0 |
| 15 | TEN Titans | 1-8 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0 |
| 16 | LAC Chargers | 0-8 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0 |
AFC magic numbers
Wins to clinch a spot is the magic number: that many more wins put the team in the playoffs, whatever any other team does. Losses to be out is the elimination number.
| Seed | Team | Record | Wins to clinch a spot | Wins to win the division | Losses to be out | This week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF Bills | 8-1 | 5 | 5 | Not yet | |
| 2 | KC Chiefs | 7-2 | 6 | Tiebreak | Not yet | |
| 3 | JAX Jaguars | 7-2 | 5 | 5 | Not yet | |
| 4 | PIT Steelers | 6-2 | 7 | 9 | Tiebreak | |
| 5 | DEN Broncos | 7-2 | 6 | Tiebreak | Not yet | |
| 6 | CIN Bengals | 6-2 | 7 | 9 | Not yet | |
| 7 | CLE Browns | 6-4 | 7 | Needs help | Not yet | |
| 8 | NE Patriots | 5-5 | Needs help | Needs help | 7 | |
| 9 | LV Raiders | 4-5 | Tiebreak | Needs help | 7 | |
| 10 | BAL Ravens | 4-5 | Tiebreak | Needs help | 7 | |
| 11 | HOU Texans | 3-6 | Needs help | Needs help | 6 | |
| 12 | IND Colts | 3-7 | Needs help | Needs help | 5 | |
| 13 | NYJ Jets | 2-8 | Needs help | Needs help | 4 | |
| 14 | MIA Dolphins | 1-8 | Needs help | Needs help | 4 | |
| 15 | TEN Titans | 1-8 | Needs help | Needs help | 4 | |
| 16 | LAC Chargers | 0-8 | Needs help | Needs help | 4 |
These numbers are proved, not played out. Needs help means even winning every game left is not enough on its own. Tiebreak means it would come down to a tiebreaker that cannot be settled yet. See who can clinch this week on the NFL clinching scenarios page.
NFC playoff picture
Seeds 1 to 4 lead their divisions. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards. See what a wild card is and how many wins it takes.
- 1SFSan Francisco 49ers7-1 NFC West leader, week off in round one97 in 100
- 2DETDetroit Lions7-2 NFC North leader89 in 100
- 3NYGNew York Giants5-3-1 NFC East leader59 in 100
- 4CARCarolina Panthers4-5 NFC South leader36 in 100
- 5MINMinnesota Vikings7-2 Wild card95 in 100
- 6CHIChicago Bears7-2 Wild card85 in 100
- 7GBGreen Bay Packers6-4 Wild card45 in 100
In the hunt
- 8SEASeattle Seahawks5-4 First team out44 in 100
- 9LARLos Angeles Rams5-4 NFC West35 in 100
- 10DALDallas Cowboys4-5 NFC East33 in 100
- 11WSHWashington Commanders3-5-1 NFC East13 in 100
- 12TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-6 NFC South49 in 100
- 13ARIArizona Cardinals3-6 NFC West2 in 100
- 14NONew Orleans Saints3-6 NFC South10 in 100
- 15ATLAtlanta Falcons3-7 NFC South8 in 100
- 16PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-7 NFC East1 in 100
The NFC race on one field
The further right a marker sits, the better that team's playoff chance.
Tiebreakers in play
- The Lions are ahead of the Bears and the Vikings on head to head.
- The Vikings are ahead of the Bears on head to head.
- The Buccaneers are ahead of the Saints on division record.
- The Seahawks are ahead of the Rams on division record.
- The Buccaneers are ahead of the Cardinals on conference record.
- The Cardinals are ahead of the Saints on conference record.
Every step is in our guide to NFL tiebreakers.
NFC chances in full
| Seed | Team | Record | Playoff chance | Win division | Top seed | Since last week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF 49ers | 7-1 | 97 | 87 | 40 | +1 |
| 2 | DET Lions | 7-2 | 89 | 34 | 20 | +14 |
| 3 | NYG Giants | 5-3-1 | 59 | 57 | 1 | -16 |
| 4 | CAR Panthers | 4-5 | 36 | 35 | <1 | +12 |
| 5 | MIN Vikings | 7-2 | 95 | 43 | 26 | +13 |
| 6 | CHI Bears | 7-2 | 85 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 7 | GB Packers | 6-4 | 45 | 2 | <1 | -22 |
| 8 | SEA Seahawks | 5-4 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | LAR Rams | 5-4 | 35 | 4 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 | DAL Cowboys | 4-5 | 33 | 30 | <1 | +7 |
| 11 | WSH Commanders | 3-5-1 | 13 | 12 | <1 | +7 |
| 12 | TB Buccaneers | 3-6 | 49 | 48 | <1 | +1 |
| 13 | ARI Cardinals | 3-6 | 2 | <1 | <1 | 0 |
| 14 | NO Saints | 3-6 | 10 | 9 | <1 | -6 |
| 15 | ATL Falcons | 3-7 | 8 | 8 | <1 | -8 |
| 16 | PHI Eagles | 2-7 | 1 | 1 | <1 | 0 |
NFC magic numbers
Wins to clinch a spot is the magic number: that many more wins put the team in the playoffs, whatever any other team does. Losses to be out is the elimination number.
| Seed | Team | Record | Wins to clinch a spot | Wins to win the division | Losses to be out | This week |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF 49ers | 7-1 | 7 | 7 | Not yet | |
| 2 | DET Lions | 7-2 | 6 | 8 | Not yet | |
| 3 | NYG Giants | 5-3-1 | 7 | 7 | Not yet | |
| 4 | CAR Panthers | 4-5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | |
| 5 | MIN Vikings | 7-2 | 6 | 8 | Not yet | |
| 6 | CHI Bears | 7-2 | 7 | 8 | Not yet | |
| 7 | GB Packers | 6-4 | Tiebreak | Needs help | 7 | |
| 8 | SEA Seahawks | 5-4 | 8 | Needs help | 7 | |
| 9 | LAR Rams | 5-4 | 8 | Needs help | 7 | |
| 10 | DAL Cowboys | 4-5 | Needs help | Needs help | 7 | |
| 11 | WSH Commanders | 3-5-1 | Needs help | Needs help | 7 | |
| 12 | TB Buccaneers | 3-6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | |
| 13 | ARI Cardinals | 3-6 | Needs help | Needs help | 5 | |
| 14 | NO Saints | 3-6 | Tiebreak | Tiebreak | 7 | |
| 15 | ATL Falcons | 3-7 | Needs help | Needs help | 6 | |
| 16 | PHI Eagles | 2-7 | Needs help | Needs help | 5 |
These numbers are proved, not played out. Needs help means even winning every game left is not enough on its own. Tiebreak means it would come down to a tiebreaker that cannot be settled yet. See who can clinch this week on the NFL clinching scenarios page.
How to read it
The order above is today's standings with every tie broken by the league's rules. The chance next to each team looks ahead: it is how often that team made the playoffs when we played out the rest of the season 50,000 times.
Questions people ask
Who is in the AFC playoff picture right now?
The seven AFC playoff places today belong to Bills (8-1), Chiefs (7-2), Jaguars (7-2), Steelers (6-2), Broncos (7-2), Bengals (6-2) and Browns (6-4). Updated Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET.
Which AFC teams are in the hunt?
The next teams outside the AFC playoff places are the Patriots, Raiders and Ravens.
Who is in the NFC playoff picture right now?
The seven NFC playoff places today belong to 49ers (7-1), Lions (7-2), Giants (5-3-1), Panthers (4-5), Vikings (7-2), Bears (7-2) and Packers (6-4). Updated Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET.
Which NFC teams are in the hunt?
The next teams outside the NFC playoff places are the Seahawks, Rams and Cowboys.
How are ties in the playoff picture broken?
Teams level on record are split by the NFL tiebreaking procedures: head to head first, then division or conference record, then common games, and more steps after that.