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Updated · Week 10 · 50,000 seasons played out

Philadelphia Eagles playoff chances

The Eagles make the playoffs in 1 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 1% chance as of week 10.

PHI Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles make the playoffs in 1 of every 100 seasons we play out. At 2-7 they sit 16th in the NFC, 9 spots outside the playoff places.

  • 2-7Record
  • 16thin the NFC today
  • 1in 100 win the NFC East
  • 0since last week

Next game vs the Steelers (week 11, off this week)

PLAYOFFS1020304050403020101in 100

The ball shows how far the Eagles are from the playoffs. The end zone is 100 in 100.

100 seasons, one dot each

  • 1 win the NFC East
  • 0 get in as a wild card
  • 99 miss the playoffs

Chance after each weekDown 49 since week 1

100500Wk 1Wk 4Wk 7Now1

What the Eagles need to make the playoffs

Magic numberNeeds helpThe Eagles cannot lock up a playoff spot on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, other results could keep them out.
NFC East magic numberNeeds helpThe Eagles cannot win the NFC East on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, they need another team to slip.
Elimination number55 more losses knock the Eagles out, whatever else happens.

These three are proved, not played out: we check every way the season can still finish. How the proof works

If they win every game left, they get in 90 times in 100. Each row is a final record and how often it was enough.

  1. 9-851 in 100Happens 1 time in 100
  2. 8-911 in 100Happens 3 times in 100
  3. 7-101 in 100Happens 9 times in 100
  4. 6-11 or worse<1 in 100Most likely finish. Happens 87 times in 100

Eagles playoff scenarios for week 10

Next game, week 11 vs Steelers Sun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET

If they win2
Today1
If they lose<1

A small swing. Winning instead of losing is worth 2 in 100. The Eagles win this game 32 times in 100.

The Eagles do not play in week 10.

Eagles clinching scenarios for week 10

No. The Eagles cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Eagles be eliminated in week 10?

No. The Eagles cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Every answer here is proved from the results still possible, with the league's tiebreakers through conference record. Clinching scenarios for every team

Who Eagles fans should root for in week 10

No other game this week moves the Eagles by more than 1 in 100.

Try your own Eagles playoff scenarios

Tap a result. We replay the season 6,000 times on your device and move the ball.

Eagles games left

  1. Wk 11vs SteelersSun, Nov 22 · wins 32 in 100
  2. Wk 12at CowboysThu, Nov 26 · wins 30 in 100
  3. Wk 13at CardinalsSun, Dec 6 · wins 42 in 100
  4. Wk 14vs ColtsSun, Dec 13 · wins 49 in 100
  5. Wk 15vs SeahawksSat, Dec 19 · wins 32 in 100
  6. Wk 16vs TexansThu, Dec 24 · wins 36 in 100
  7. Wk 17at 49ersSun, Jan 3 · wins 18 in 100
  8. Wk 18at GiantsSun, Jan 10 · wins 32 in 100

Other games in week 10

  1. Rams at CardinalsSun, Nov 15
  2. Seahawks at RaidersSun, Nov 15
  3. 49ers at CowboysSun, Nov 15
  4. Steelers at BengalsSun, Nov 15
  5. Chargers at RavensMon, Nov 16

Eagles playoff picture today

The Eagles are 2-7 and sit 16th in the NFC. They are 3.5 games behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place.

They are 4th in the NFC East, 3.5 games behind the Giants.

If the playoffs started today, the Eagles would miss out.

Last 5:LLLLLThey have lost 7 in a row.

Our strength rating puts them 30th of 32, 5.5 points worse than an average team. The Eagles made the playoffs in 5 of the last 5 seasons (2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025).

See every seed in the NFC playoff picture and today's playoff bracket.

NFC East standings

TeamRecordIn divisionPlayoffsWin division
NYG Giants5-3-12-1-15957
DAL Cowboys4-52-13330
WSH Commanders3-5-12-2-11312
PHI Eagles2-71-311

Eagles playoff odds by seed

How often each seed came up, out of 100 seasons.

  1. 1st seed bye week<1
  2. 2nd seed<1
  3. 3rd seed<1
  4. 4th seed last home game1
  5. 5th seed<1
  6. 6th seed<1
  7. 7th seed<1
  8. Miss the playoffs99

How far the Eagles can go

The Eagles playoff odds for each round, out of 100. We play the bracket in every season, up to the Super Bowl.

  1. Make the playoffs1in 100
  2. Reach the divisional round<1in 100
  3. Reach the conference title game<1in 100
  4. Reach the Super Bowl<1in 100
  5. Win the Super Bowl<1in 100

Eagles remaining schedule

The Eagles have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 36-34-1, the 12th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

WeekDateOpponentTheir recordChance to win
11Sun, Nov 22vs Steelers6-2 32 in 100
12Thu, Nov 26at Cowboys4-5 30 in 100
13Sun, Dec 6at Cardinals3-6 42 in 100
14Sun, Dec 13vs Colts3-7 49 in 100
15Sat, Dec 19vs Seahawks5-4 32 in 100
16Thu, Dec 24vs Texans3-6 36 in 100
17Sun, Jan 3at 49ers7-1 18 in 100
18Sun, Jan 10at Giants5-3-1 32 in 100

Every game this week, with kickoff times in your own time zone, is on the NFL games this week page. The Eagles bye is in week 10. Every team's week off is in our guide to NFL bye weeks 2026.

Eagles results and how their playoff chances moved

Each row shows the playoff chance once that week was complete.

WeekDateOpponentResultPlayoff chance after
1Sun, Sep 13vs CommandersWon 24 to 2250 in 100
2Sun, Sep 20at TitansWon 24 to 2056 in 100 +6
3Mon, Sep 28at BearsLost 7 to 2743 in 100 -13
4Sun, Oct 4vs RamsLost 20 to 2428 in 100 -15
5Sun, Oct 11vs JaguarsLost 17 to 1927 in 100 -1
6Sun, Oct 18vs PanthersLost 14 to 2522 in 100 -5
7Mon, Oct 26vs CowboysLost 21 to 387 in 100 -15
8Sun, Nov 1at CommandersLost 10 to 274 in 100 -3
9Sun, Nov 8vs GiantsLost 11 to 191 in 100 -3

If the Eagles miss the playoffs: draft position

  • 99in 100 miss the playoffs
  • No. 5average first round pick
  • 62in 100 get a top 5 pick
  • 7in 100 get the first pick

If the Eagles miss the playoffs, their own first round pick lands at about No. 5 on average. They end up with the first overall pick in 7 of 100 seasons and with a top 5 pick in 62.

Picks 1 to 18 go to the teams that miss the playoffs, worst record first. Trades are not included.

How we got these numbers

Three steps, run again after every game window.

  1. Rate every teamWe rate every team from the points in its games so far.
  2. Play out the seasonEvery game left is played out 50,000 times.
  3. Seed every seasonEach of those seasons is seeded with the real NFL tiebreakers.

The result

PHI 1 in 100

The Eagles made the playoffs in 1 of every 100 seasons.

Clinched and eliminated are proved, not played out. They and the magic numbers are worked out another way. They are proved from every result still possible, so they are certain, not likely. How the proof works

✓Checked Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET. Our seeding matches the official standings for 32 of 32 teams. How it works

Eagles playoff questions

What are the Eagles playoff chances right now?

The Eagles make the playoffs in 1 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 1% chance. At 2-7 they sit 16th in the NFC, 9 spots outside the playoff places. Updated Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET.

Can the Eagles still make the playoffs?

Yes, but they need things to go their way. The Eagles make the playoffs 1 time in 100 in our runs. They are 3.5 games behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place. If they win every game left, they get in 90 times in 100.

What do the Eagles need to make the playoffs?

In our runs a final record of 9-8 got in 51 times in 100 and 8-9 got in 11 times in 100. If they win every game left, they get in 90 times in 100.

Are the Eagles eliminated from the playoffs?

No. The Eagles are not eliminated. 5 more losses knock the Eagles out, whatever else happens. They are 3.5 games behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place.

What is the Eagles magic number?

The Eagles do not have a magic number yet. The Eagles cannot lock up a playoff spot on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, other results could keep them out. The Eagles cannot win the NFC East on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, they need another team to slip.

What are the Eagles playoff scenarios for week 10?

The Eagles do not play in week 10. Their next game is vs the Steelers on Sun, Nov 22.

Can the Eagles clinch a playoff spot this week?

No. The Eagles cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Eagles be eliminated this week?

No. The Eagles cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Who should Eagles fans root for this week?

No other game in week 10 moves the Eagles by more than 1 in 100.

Who do the Eagles play next?

Next they play vs the Steelers on Sun, Nov 22. A win lifts the chance to 2 in 100. A loss drops it to fewer than 1.

Can the Eagles still win the NFC East?

The Eagles win the NFC East in 1 of 100. They are 4th in the NFC East, 3.5 games behind the Giants.

What are the Eagles Super Bowl chances?

The Eagles reach the Super Bowl in fewer than 1 of every 100 seasons we play out and win it in fewer than 1.

How hard is the Eagles remaining schedule?

The Eagles have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 36-34-1, the 12th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

More playoff chances