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Updated · Week 10 · 50,000 seasons played out

New York Giants playoff chances

The Giants make the playoffs in 59 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 59% chance as of week 10.

NYG New York Giants

The Giants make the playoffs in 59 of every 100 seasons we play out. At 5-3-1 they hold the NFC 3rd seed today.

  • 5-3-1Record
  • 3rdin the NFC today
  • 57in 100 win the NFC East
  • -16since last week

Next game vs the Jaguars (week 11)

PLAYOFFS102030405040302010last week59in 100

The ball shows how far the Giants are from the playoffs. The end zone is 100 in 100.

100 seasons, one dot each

  • 57 win the NFC East
  • 2 get in as a wild card
  • 41 miss the playoffs

Chance after each weekUp 3 since week 1

100500Wk 1Wk 4Wk 7Now59

What the Giants need to make the playoffs

Magic number77 more wins put the Giants in the playoffs, whatever any other team does.
NFC East magic number77 more wins give the Giants the NFC East title, whatever any other team does.
Elimination numberNot yetThe Giants cannot be knocked out by their own results yet. Even if they lose all 8 games they have left, there is still a way in.

These three are proved, not played out: we check every way the season can still finish. How the proof works

If they win every game left, they are in. Each row is a final record and how often it was enough.

  1. 11-5-1 or better99+ in 100Happens 10 times in 100
  2. 10-6-199 in 100Happens 16 times in 100
  3. 9-7-183 in 100Happens 23 times in 100
  4. 8-8-145 in 100Most likely finish. Happens 24 times in 100
  5. 7-9-114 in 100Happens 17 times in 100
  6. 6-10-12 in 100Happens 7 times in 100
  7. 5-11-1<1 in 100Happens 2 times in 100

Giants playoff scenarios for week 10

Next game, week 11 vs Jaguars Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM ET

If they win76
Today59
If they lose51

A huge game. Winning instead of losing is worth 25 in 100. The Giants win this game 31 times in 100.

The Giants do not play in week 10.

Best and worst case this week

Best week6549ers beat Cowboys
Worst week53Cowboys beat 49ers

Giants clinching scenarios for week 10

No. The Giants cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Giants be eliminated in week 10?

No. The Giants cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Every answer here is proved from the results still possible, with the league's tiebreakers through conference record. Clinching scenarios for every team

Who Giants fans should root for in week 10

  1. SF49ersover the Cowboys Sun, Nov 15+13

The number is how much a result helps, in chances out of 100. Swings under 1.5 are left out because they are too small to trust.

Try your own Giants playoff scenarios

Tap a result. We replay the season 6,000 times on your device and move the ball.

Giants games left

  1. Wk 11vs JaguarsSun, Nov 22 · wins 31 in 100
  2. Wk 12at ColtsSun, Nov 29 · wins 52 in 100
  3. Wk 13vs 49ersSun, Dec 6 · wins 37 in 100
  4. Wk 14at SeahawksSun, Dec 13 · wins 35 in 100
  5. Wk 15vs BrownsSun, Dec 20 · wins 58 in 100
  6. Wk 16at LionsMon, Dec 28 · wins 31 in 100
  7. Wk 17at CowboysSun, Jan 3 · wins 42 in 100
  8. Wk 18vs EaglesSun, Jan 10 · wins 68 in 100

Other games in week 10

  1. Rams at CardinalsSun, Nov 15
  2. Seahawks at RaidersSun, Nov 15
  3. 49ers at CowboysSun, Nov 15
  4. Steelers at BengalsSun, Nov 15
  5. Chargers at RavensMon, Nov 16

Giants playoff picture today

The Giants are 5-3-1 and hold the NFC 3rd seed. They are half a game ahead of the Seahawks, the first team outside the playoff places.

They lead the NFC East by 1.5 games over the Cowboys.

If the playoffs started today, the Giants would host the Bears in the wild card round.

Last 5:TLWWLThey lost their last game.

Our strength rating puts them 18th of 32, 1.1 points worse than an average team. The Giants made the playoffs in 1 of the last 5 seasons (2022).

See every seed in the NFC playoff picture and today's playoff bracket.

NFC East standings

TeamRecordIn divisionPlayoffsWin division
NYG Giants5-3-12-1-15957
DAL Cowboys4-52-13330
WSH Commanders3-5-12-2-11312
PHI Eagles2-71-311

Giants playoff odds by seed

How often each seed came up, out of 100 seasons.

  1. 1st seed bye week1
  2. 2nd seed4
  3. 3rd seed37
  4. 4th seed last home game14
  5. 5th seed<1
  6. 6th seed1
  7. 7th seed2
  8. Miss the playoffs41

How far the Giants can go

The Giants playoff odds for each round, out of 100. We play the bracket in every season, up to the Super Bowl.

  1. Make the playoffs59in 100
  2. Reach the divisional round27in 100
  3. Reach the conference title game10in 100
  4. Reach the Super Bowl4in 100
  5. Win the Super Bowl1in 100

Giants remaining schedule

The Giants have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 41-32, the 3rd hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

WeekDateOpponentTheir recordChance to win
11Sun, Nov 22vs Jaguars7-2 31 in 100
12Sun, Nov 29at Colts3-7 52 in 100
13Sun, Dec 6vs 49ers7-1 37 in 100
14Sun, Dec 13at Seahawks5-4 35 in 100
15Sun, Dec 20vs Browns6-4 58 in 100
16Mon, Dec 28at Lions7-2 31 in 100
17Sun, Jan 3at Cowboys4-5 42 in 100
18Sun, Jan 10vs Eagles2-7 68 in 100

Every game this week, with kickoff times in your own time zone, is on the NFL games this week page. The Giants bye is in week 8. Every team's week off is in our guide to NFL bye weeks 2026.

Giants results and how their playoff chances moved

Each row shows the playoff chance once that week was complete.

WeekDateOpponentResultPlayoff chance after
1Sun, Sep 13vs CowboysWon 28 to 2056 in 100
2Mon, Sep 21at RamsLost 6 to 2832 in 100 -24
3Sun, Sep 27vs TitansWon 12 to 740 in 100 +8
4Sun, Oct 4vs CardinalsWon 36 to 2456 in 100 +16
5Sun, Oct 11at CommandersTied 27 to 2755 in 100 -1
6Sun, Oct 18vs SaintsLost 27 to 3450 in 100 -5
7Sun, Oct 25at TexansWon 27 to 2162 in 100 +12
9Sun, Nov 8at EaglesWon 19 to 1175 in 100 +8
10Thu, Nov 12vs CommandersLost 21 to 24week not finished

If the Giants miss the playoffs: draft position

  • 41in 100 miss the playoffs
  • No. 14average first round pick
  • <1in 100 get a top 5 pick
  • <1in 100 get the first pick

If the Giants miss the playoffs, their own first round pick lands at about No. 14 on average.

Picks 1 to 18 go to the teams that miss the playoffs, worst record first. Trades are not included.

How we got these numbers

Three steps, run again after every game window.

  1. Rate every teamWe rate every team from the points in its games so far.
  2. Play out the seasonEvery game left is played out 50,000 times.
  3. Seed every seasonEach of those seasons is seeded with the real NFL tiebreakers.

The result

NYG 59 in 100

The Giants made the playoffs in 59 of every 100 seasons.

Clinched and eliminated are proved, not played out. They and the magic numbers are worked out another way. They are proved from every result still possible, so they are certain, not likely. How the proof works

✓Checked Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET. Our seeding matches the official standings for 32 of 32 teams. How it works

Giants playoff questions

What are the Giants playoff chances right now?

The Giants make the playoffs in 59 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 59% chance. At 5-3-1 they hold the NFC 3rd seed today. That is down 16 from last week. Updated Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET.

Can the Giants still make the playoffs?

Yes. The Giants make the playoffs 59 times in 100 in our runs. They are half a game ahead of the Seahawks, the first team outside the playoff places.

What do the Giants need to make the playoffs?

In our runs a final record of 9-7-1 got in 83 times in 100, 8-8-1 got in 45 times in 100 and 7-9-1 got in 14 times in 100. If they win every game left, they are in.

Are the Giants eliminated from the playoffs?

No. The Giants are not eliminated. The Giants cannot be knocked out by their own results yet. Even if they lose all 8 games they have left, there is still a way in. They are half a game ahead of the Seahawks, the first team outside the playoff places.

What is the Giants magic number?

The Giants magic number is 7. 7 more wins put the Giants in the playoffs, whatever any other team does. 7 more wins give the Giants the NFC East title, whatever any other team does.

What are the Giants playoff scenarios for week 10?

The Giants do not play in week 10. Their next game is vs the Jaguars on Sun, Nov 22. With the other key results added, the best case this week is 65 in 100 and the worst case is 53.

Can the Giants clinch a playoff spot this week?

No. The Giants cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Giants be eliminated this week?

No. The Giants cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Who should Giants fans root for this week?

Besides their own game, the results that help the Giants most in week 10 are the 49ers over the Cowboys.

Who do the Giants play next?

Next they play vs the Jaguars on Sun, Nov 22. A win lifts the chance to 76 in 100. A loss drops it to 51.

Can the Giants still win the NFC East?

The Giants win the NFC East in 57 of 100. They lead the NFC East by 1.5 games over the Cowboys.

What are the Giants Super Bowl chances?

The Giants reach the Super Bowl in 4 of every 100 seasons we play out and win it in 1.

How hard is the Giants remaining schedule?

The Giants have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 41-32, the 3rd hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

More playoff chances