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Updated · Week 10 · 50,000 seasons played out

Los Angeles Rams playoff chances

The Rams make the playoffs in 35 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 35% chance as of week 10.

LAR Los Angeles Rams

The Rams make the playoffs in 35 of every 100 seasons we play out. At 5-4 they sit 9th in the NFC, 2 spots outside the playoff places.

  • 5-4Record
  • 9thin the NFC today
  • 4in 100 win the NFC West
  • -1since last week

Next game at the Cardinals

PLAYOFFS10203040504030201035in 100

The ball shows how far the Rams are from the playoffs. The end zone is 100 in 100.

100 seasons, one dot each

  • 4 win the NFC West
  • 31 get in as a wild card
  • 65 miss the playoffs

Chance after each weekUp 14 since week 1

100500Wk 1Wk 4Wk 7Now35

What the Rams need to make the playoffs

Magic number8The Rams control their own path. If they win all 8 games they have left, they are in the playoffs whatever any other team does.
NFC West magic numberNeeds helpThe Rams cannot win the NFC West on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, they need another team to slip.
Elimination number77 more losses knock the Rams out, whatever else happens.

These three are proved, not played out: we check every way the season can still finish. How the proof works

If they win every game left, they are in. Each row is a final record and how often it was enough.

  1. 12-5 or better99+ in 100Happens 6 times in 100
  2. 11-697 in 100Happens 12 times in 100
  3. 10-768 in 100Happens 20 times in 100
  4. 9-816 in 100Most likely finish. Happens 24 times in 100
  5. 8-9 or worse<1 in 100Happens 38 times in 100

Rams playoff scenarios for week 10

This week at Cardinals Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET

If they win45
Today35
If they lose19

A huge game. Winning instead of losing is worth 26 in 100. The Rams win this game 63 times in 100.

Best and worst case this week

Best week49Rams beat Cardinals, Raiders beat Seahawks
Worst week17Cardinals beat Rams, Seahawks beat Raiders

Rams clinching scenarios for week 10

No. The Rams cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Rams be eliminated in week 10?

No. The Rams cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Every answer here is proved from the results still possible, with the league's tiebreakers through conference record. Clinching scenarios for every team

Who Rams fans should root for in week 10

  1. LVRaidersover the Seahawks Sun, Nov 15+7

The number is how much a result helps, in chances out of 100. Swings under 1.5 are left out because they are too small to trust.

Try your own Rams playoff scenarios

Tap a result. We replay the season 6,000 times on your device and move the ball.

Rams games left

  1. Wk 10at CardinalsSun, Nov 15 · wins 63 in 100
  2. Wk 12vs PackersWed, Nov 25 · wins 57 in 100
  3. Wk 13vs ChiefsThu, Dec 3 · wins 46 in 100
  4. Wk 14at 49ersSun, Dec 13 · wins 35 in 100
  5. Wk 15vs CowboysSun, Dec 20 · wins 61 in 100
  6. Wk 16at SeahawksFri, Dec 25 · wins 43 in 100
  7. Wk 17at BuccaneersSun, Jan 3 · wins 44 in 100
  8. Wk 18vs SeahawksSun, Jan 10 · wins 53 in 100

Other games in week 10

  1. Seahawks at RaidersSun, Nov 15
  2. 49ers at CowboysSun, Nov 15
  3. Steelers at BengalsSun, Nov 15
  4. Chargers at RavensMon, Nov 16

Rams playoff picture today

The Rams are 5-4 and sit 9th in the NFC. They are half a game behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place.

They are 3rd in the NFC West, 2.5 games behind the 49ers.

If the playoffs started today, the Rams would miss out.

Last 5:LLWWWThey have won 3 in a row.

Our strength rating puts them 13th of 32, 1.7 points better than an average team. The Rams made the playoffs in 4 of the last 5 seasons (2021, 2023, 2024, 2025).

See every seed in the NFC playoff picture and today's playoff bracket.

NFC West standings

TeamRecordIn divisionPlayoffsWin division
SF 49ers7-13-09787
SEA Seahawks5-42-1448
LAR Rams5-40-2354
ARI Cardinals3-61-32<1

Rams playoff odds by seed

How often each seed came up, out of 100 seasons.

  1. 1st seed bye week1
  2. 2nd seed3
  3. 3rd seed1
  4. 4th seed last home game<1
  5. 5th seed6
  6. 6th seed11
  7. 7th seed14
  8. Miss the playoffs65

How far the Rams can go

The Rams playoff odds for each round, out of 100. We play the bracket in every season, up to the Super Bowl.

  1. Make the playoffs35in 100
  2. Reach the divisional round17in 100
  3. Reach the conference title game8in 100
  4. Reach the Super Bowl4in 100
  5. Win the Super Bowl2in 100

Rams remaining schedule

The Rams have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 40-32, the 4th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

WeekDateOpponentTheir recordChance to win
10Sun, Nov 15at Cardinals3-6 63 in 100
12Wed, Nov 25vs Packers6-4 57 in 100
13Thu, Dec 3vs Chiefs7-2 46 in 100
14Sun, Dec 13at 49ers7-1 35 in 100
15Sun, Dec 20vs Cowboys4-5 61 in 100
16Fri, Dec 25at Seahawks5-4 43 in 100
17Sun, Jan 3at Buccaneers3-6 44 in 100
18Sun, Jan 10vs Seahawks5-4 53 in 100

Every game this week, with kickoff times in your own time zone, is on the NFL games this week page. The Rams bye is in week 11. Every team's week off is in our guide to NFL bye weeks 2026.

Rams results and how their playoff chances moved

Each row shows the playoff chance once that week was complete.

WeekDateOpponentResultPlayoff chance after
1Thu, Sep 10vs 49ersLost 7 to 2721 in 100
2Mon, Sep 21vs GiantsWon 28 to 638 in 100 +17
3Sun, Sep 27at BroncosLost 26 to 3032 in 100 -6
4Sun, Oct 4at EaglesWon 24 to 2043 in 100 +11
5Mon, Oct 12vs BillsLost 34 to 3736 in 100 -7
6Sun, Oct 18vs CardinalsLost 16 to 1821 in 100 -15
7Sun, Oct 25at RaidersWon 35 to 2126 in 100 +5
8Sun, Nov 1vs ChargersWon 24 to 932 in 100 +6
9Sun, Nov 8at CommandersWon 20 to 1336 in 100 +4

If the Rams miss the playoffs: draft position

  • 65in 100 miss the playoffs
  • No. 15average first round pick
  • <1in 100 get a top 5 pick
  • <1in 100 get the first pick

If the Rams miss the playoffs, their own first round pick lands at about No. 15 on average.

Picks 1 to 18 go to the teams that miss the playoffs, worst record first. Trades are not included.

Tiebreakers in play for the Rams

These ties are being broken in today's standings.

  • BehindSEA The Seahawks are ahead of LAR the Rams on division record.

The steps follow the league's tiebreaking procedures. See every step or read our guide to NFL tiebreakers.

How we got these numbers

Three steps, run again after every game window.

  1. Rate every teamWe rate every team from the points in its games so far.
  2. Play out the seasonEvery game left is played out 50,000 times.
  3. Seed every seasonEach of those seasons is seeded with the real NFL tiebreakers.

The result

LAR 35 in 100

The Rams made the playoffs in 35 of every 100 seasons.

Clinched and eliminated are proved, not played out. They and the magic numbers are worked out another way. They are proved from every result still possible, so they are certain, not likely. How the proof works

✓Checked Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET. Our seeding matches the official standings for 32 of 32 teams. How it works

Rams playoff questions

What are the Rams playoff chances right now?

The Rams make the playoffs in 35 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 35% chance. At 5-4 they sit 9th in the NFC, 2 spots outside the playoff places. That is down 1 from last week. Updated Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET.

Can the Rams still make the playoffs?

Yes, but they need things to go their way. The Rams make the playoffs 35 times in 100 in our runs. They are half a game behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place. If they win every game left, they are in.

What do the Rams need to make the playoffs?

In our runs a final record of 11-6 got in 97 times in 100, 10-7 got in 68 times in 100 and 9-8 got in 16 times in 100. If they win every game left, they are in.

Are the Rams eliminated from the playoffs?

No. The Rams are not eliminated. 7 more losses knock the Rams out, whatever else happens. They are half a game behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place.

What is the Rams magic number?

The Rams magic number is 8. The Rams control their own path. If they win all 8 games they have left, they are in the playoffs whatever any other team does. The Rams cannot win the NFC West on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, they need another team to slip.

What are the Rams playoff scenarios for week 10?

The Rams play at the Cardinals on Sun, Nov 15. A win lifts their chance to 45 in 100 and a loss drops it to 19. With the other key results added, the best case this week is 49 in 100 and the worst case is 17.

Can the Rams clinch a playoff spot this week?

No. The Rams cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Rams be eliminated this week?

No. The Rams cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Who should Rams fans root for this week?

Besides their own game, the results that help the Rams most in week 10 are the Raiders over the Seahawks.

Who do the Rams play next?

Next they play at the Cardinals on Sun, Nov 15. A win lifts the chance to 45 in 100. A loss drops it to 19.

Can the Rams still win the NFC West?

The Rams win the NFC West in 4 of 100. They are 3rd in the NFC West, 2.5 games behind the 49ers.

What are the Rams Super Bowl chances?

The Rams reach the Super Bowl in 4 of every 100 seasons we play out and win it in 2.

How hard is the Rams remaining schedule?

The Rams have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 40-32, the 4th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

More playoff chances