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Updated · Week 10 · 50,000 seasons played out

Seattle Seahawks playoff chances

The Seahawks make the playoffs in 44 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 44% chance as of week 10.

SEA Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks make the playoffs in 44 of every 100 seasons we play out. At 5-4 they sit 8th in the NFC, 1 spot outside the playoff places.

  • 5-4Record
  • 8thin the NFC today
  • 8in 100 win the NFC West
  • 0since last week

Next game at the Raiders

PLAYOFFS10203040504030201044in 100

The ball shows how far the Seahawks are from the playoffs. The end zone is 100 in 100.

100 seasons, one dot each

  • 8 win the NFC West
  • 36 get in as a wild card
  • 56 miss the playoffs

Chance after each weekDown 2 since week 1

100500Wk 1Wk 4Wk 7Now44

What the Seahawks need to make the playoffs

Magic number8The Seahawks control their own path. If they win all 8 games they have left, they are in the playoffs whatever any other team does.
NFC West magic numberNeeds helpThe Seahawks cannot win the NFC West on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, they need another team to slip.
Elimination number77 more losses knock the Seahawks out, whatever else happens.

These three are proved, not played out: we check every way the season can still finish. How the proof works

If they win every game left, they are in. Each row is a final record and how often it was enough.

  1. 12-5 or better99+ in 100Happens 9 times in 100
  2. 11-696 in 100Happens 17 times in 100
  3. 10-765 in 100Happens 23 times in 100
  4. 9-816 in 100Most likely finish. Happens 23 times in 100
  5. 8-9 or worse<1 in 100Happens 28 times in 100

Seahawks playoff scenarios for week 10

This week at Raiders Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET

If they win54
Today44
If they lose31

A big game. Winning instead of losing is worth 23 in 100. The Seahawks win this game 57 times in 100.

Best and worst case this week

Best week60Seahawks beat Raiders, Cardinals beat Rams
Worst week28Raiders beat Seahawks, Rams beat Cardinals

Seahawks clinching scenarios for week 10

No. The Seahawks cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Seahawks be eliminated in week 10?

No. The Seahawks cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Every answer here is proved from the results still possible, with the league's tiebreakers through conference record. Clinching scenarios for every team

Who Seahawks fans should root for in week 10

  1. ARICardinalsover the Rams Sun, Nov 15+7

The number is how much a result helps, in chances out of 100. Swings under 1.5 are left out because they are too small to trust.

Try your own Seahawks playoff scenarios

Tap a result. We replay the season 6,000 times on your device and move the ball.

Seahawks games left

  1. Wk 10at RaidersSun, Nov 15 · wins 57 in 100
  2. Wk 12at 49ersSun, Nov 29 · wins 37 in 100
  3. Wk 13vs CowboysMon, Dec 7 · wins 62 in 100
  4. Wk 14vs GiantsSun, Dec 13 · wins 65 in 100
  5. Wk 15at EaglesSat, Dec 19 · wins 68 in 100
  6. Wk 16vs RamsFri, Dec 25 · wins 57 in 100
  7. Wk 17at PanthersSun, Jan 3 · wins 55 in 100
  8. Wk 18at RamsSun, Jan 10 · wins 47 in 100

Other games in week 10

  1. Rams at CardinalsSun, Nov 15
  2. 49ers at CowboysSun, Nov 15
  3. Steelers at BengalsSun, Nov 15
  4. Chargers at RavensMon, Nov 16

Seahawks playoff picture today

The Seahawks are 5-4 and sit 8th in the NFC. They are half a game behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place.

They are 2nd in the NFC West, 2.5 games behind the 49ers.

If the playoffs started today, the Seahawks would miss out.

Last 5:LLWLWThey won their last game.

Our strength rating puts them 9th of 32, 2.3 points better than an average team. The Seahawks made the playoffs in 2 of the last 5 seasons (2022, 2025).

See every seed in the NFC playoff picture and today's playoff bracket.

NFC West standings

TeamRecordIn divisionPlayoffsWin division
SF 49ers7-13-09787
SEA Seahawks5-42-1448
LAR Rams5-40-2354
ARI Cardinals3-61-32<1

Seahawks playoff odds by seed

How often each seed came up, out of 100 seasons.

  1. 1st seed bye week1
  2. 2nd seed6
  3. 3rd seed1
  4. 4th seed last home game<1
  5. 5th seed5
  6. 6th seed12
  7. 7th seed18
  8. Miss the playoffs56

How far the Seahawks can go

The Seahawks playoff odds for each round, out of 100. We play the bracket in every season, up to the Super Bowl.

  1. Make the playoffs44in 100
  2. Reach the divisional round22in 100
  3. Reach the conference title game10in 100
  4. Reach the Super Bowl5in 100
  5. Win the Super Bowl2in 100

Seahawks remaining schedule

The Seahawks have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 36-34-1, the 12th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

WeekDateOpponentTheir recordChance to win
10Sun, Nov 15at Raiders4-5 57 in 100
12Sun, Nov 29at 49ers7-1 37 in 100
13Mon, Dec 7vs Cowboys4-5 62 in 100
14Sun, Dec 13vs Giants5-3-1 65 in 100
15Sat, Dec 19at Eagles2-7 68 in 100
16Fri, Dec 25vs Rams5-4 57 in 100
17Sun, Jan 3at Panthers4-5 55 in 100
18Sun, Jan 10at Rams5-4 47 in 100

Every game this week, with kickoff times in your own time zone, is on the NFL games this week page. The Seahawks bye is in week 11. Every team's week off is in our guide to NFL bye weeks 2026.

Seahawks results and how their playoff chances moved

Each row shows the playoff chance once that week was complete.

WeekDateOpponentResultPlayoff chance after
1Wed, Sep 9vs PatriotsWon 13 to 1046 in 100
2Sun, Sep 20at CardinalsWon 31 to 770 in 100 +24
3Sun, Sep 27at CommandersLost 31 to 3359 in 100 -11
4Sun, Oct 4vs ChargersWon 30 to 2360 in 100 +1
5Sun, Oct 11vs 49ersLost 29 to 3259 in 100 -1
6Thu, Oct 15at BroncosLost 14 to 1751 in 100 -8
7Sun, Oct 25vs ChiefsWon 20 to 364 in 100 +13
8Mon, Nov 2vs BearsLost 17 to 3442 in 100 -22
9Sun, Nov 8vs CardinalsWon 17 to 344 in 100 +2

If the Seahawks miss the playoffs: draft position

  • 56in 100 miss the playoffs
  • No. 15average first round pick
  • <1in 100 get a top 5 pick
  • <1in 100 get the first pick

If the Seahawks miss the playoffs, their own first round pick lands at about No. 15 on average.

Picks 1 to 18 go to the teams that miss the playoffs, worst record first. Trades are not included.

Tiebreakers in play for the Seahawks

These ties are being broken in today's standings.

  • AheadSEA The Seahawks are ahead of LAR the Rams on division record.

The steps follow the league's tiebreaking procedures. See every step or read our guide to NFL tiebreakers.

How we got these numbers

Three steps, run again after every game window.

  1. Rate every teamWe rate every team from the points in its games so far.
  2. Play out the seasonEvery game left is played out 50,000 times.
  3. Seed every seasonEach of those seasons is seeded with the real NFL tiebreakers.

The result

SEA 44 in 100

The Seahawks made the playoffs in 44 of every 100 seasons.

Clinched and eliminated are proved, not played out. They and the magic numbers are worked out another way. They are proved from every result still possible, so they are certain, not likely. How the proof works

✓Checked Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET. Our seeding matches the official standings for 32 of 32 teams. How it works

Seahawks playoff questions

What are the Seahawks playoff chances right now?

The Seahawks make the playoffs in 44 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 44% chance. At 5-4 they sit 8th in the NFC, 1 spot outside the playoff places. Updated Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET.

Can the Seahawks still make the playoffs?

Yes, but they need things to go their way. The Seahawks make the playoffs 44 times in 100 in our runs. They are half a game behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place. If they win every game left, they are in.

What do the Seahawks need to make the playoffs?

In our runs a final record of 11-6 got in 96 times in 100, 10-7 got in 65 times in 100 and 9-8 got in 16 times in 100. If they win every game left, they are in.

Are the Seahawks eliminated from the playoffs?

No. The Seahawks are not eliminated. 7 more losses knock the Seahawks out, whatever else happens. They are half a game behind the Packers, who hold the last playoff place.

What is the Seahawks magic number?

The Seahawks magic number is 8. The Seahawks control their own path. If they win all 8 games they have left, they are in the playoffs whatever any other team does. The Seahawks cannot win the NFC West on their own. Even if they win all 8 games they have left, they need another team to slip.

What are the Seahawks playoff scenarios for week 10?

The Seahawks play at the Raiders on Sun, Nov 15. A win lifts their chance to 54 in 100 and a loss drops it to 31. With the other key results added, the best case this week is 60 in 100 and the worst case is 28.

Can the Seahawks clinch a playoff spot this week?

No. The Seahawks cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Seahawks be eliminated this week?

No. The Seahawks cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Who should Seahawks fans root for this week?

Besides their own game, the results that help the Seahawks most in week 10 are the Cardinals over the Rams.

Who do the Seahawks play next?

Next they play at the Raiders on Sun, Nov 15. A win lifts the chance to 54 in 100. A loss drops it to 31.

Can the Seahawks still win the NFC West?

The Seahawks win the NFC West in 8 of 100. They are 2nd in the NFC West, 2.5 games behind the 49ers.

What are the Seahawks Super Bowl chances?

The Seahawks reach the Super Bowl in 5 of every 100 seasons we play out and win it in 2.

How hard is the Seahawks remaining schedule?

The Seahawks have 8 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 36-34-1, the 12th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

More playoff chances