Home › Teams › Bengals playoff chances

Updated · Week 10 · 50,000 seasons played out

Cincinnati Bengals playoff chances

The Bengals make the playoffs in 94 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 94% chance as of week 10.

CIN Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals make the playoffs in 94 of every 100 seasons we play out. At 6-2 they hold the AFC 6th seed today.

  • 6-2Record
  • 6thin the AFC today
  • 58in 100 win the AFC North
  • 0since last week

Next game vs the Steelers

PLAYOFFS10203040504030201094in 100

The ball shows how far the Bengals are from the playoffs. The end zone is 100 in 100.

100 seasons, one dot each

  • 58 win the AFC North
  • 36 get in as a wild card
  • 6 miss the playoffs

Chance after each weekUp 41 since week 1

100500Wk 1Wk 4Wk 7Now94

What the Bengals need to make the playoffs

Magic number77 more wins put the Bengals in the playoffs, whatever any other team does. 6 more wins could be enough if a tiebreaker goes their way.
AFC North magic number9If they win all 9 games they have left, the Bengals win the AFC North whatever any other team does.
Elimination numberNot yetThe Bengals cannot be knocked out by their own results yet. Even if they lose all 9 games they have left, there is still a way in.

These three are proved, not played out: we check every way the season can still finish. How the proof works

If they win every game left, they are in. Each row is a final record and how often it was enough.

  1. 12-5 or better99+ in 100Most likely finish. Happens 63 times in 100
  2. 11-699 in 100Happens 18 times in 100
  3. 10-786 in 100Happens 11 times in 100
  4. 9-841 in 100Happens 5 times in 100
  5. 8-97 in 100Happens 2 times in 100

Bengals playoff scenarios for week 10

This week vs Steelers Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET

If they win97
Today94
If they lose87

It matters. Winning instead of losing is worth 10 in 100. The Bengals win this game 63 times in 100.

Best and worst case this week

Best week97Bengals beat Steelers
Worst week87Steelers beat Bengals

Bengals clinching scenarios for week 10

No. The Bengals cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Bengals be eliminated in week 10?

No. The Bengals cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Every answer here is proved from the results still possible, with the league's tiebreakers through conference record. Clinching scenarios for every team

Who Bengals fans should root for in week 10

No other game this week moves the Bengals by more than 1 in 100.

Try your own Bengals playoff scenarios

Tap a result. We replay the season 6,000 times on your device and move the ball.

Bengals games left

  1. Wk 10vs SteelersSun, Nov 15 · wins 63 in 100
  2. Wk 11at CommandersMon, Nov 23 · wins 67 in 100
  3. Wk 12vs SaintsSun, Nov 29 · wins 76 in 100
  4. Wk 13at BrownsSun, Dec 6 · wins 65 in 100
  5. Wk 14vs ChiefsSun, Dec 13 · wins 55 in 100
  6. Wk 15at PanthersSun, Dec 20 · wins 63 in 100
  7. Wk 16at ColtsSun, Dec 27 · wins 69 in 100
  8. Wk 17vs RavensThu, Dec 31 · wins 77 in 100
  9. Wk 18vs BrownsSun, Jan 10 · wins 74 in 100

Other games in week 10

  1. Rams at CardinalsSun, Nov 15
  2. Seahawks at RaidersSun, Nov 15
  3. 49ers at CowboysSun, Nov 15
  4. Chargers at RavensMon, Nov 16

Bengals playoff picture today

The Bengals are 6-2 and hold the AFC 6th seed. They are 2 games ahead of the Patriots, the first team outside the playoff places.

They are 2nd in the AFC North, level with the Steelers but behind on a tiebreaker.

If the playoffs started today, the Bengals would visit the Jaguars in the wild card round.

Last 5:LWWWWThey have won 4 in a row.

Our strength rating puts them 4th of 32, 4.9 points better than an average team. The Bengals made the playoffs in 2 of the last 5 seasons (2021, 2022).

See every seed in the AFC playoff picture and today's playoff bracket.

AFC North standings

TeamRecordIn divisionPlayoffsWin division
PIT Steelers6-22-18535
CIN Bengals6-21-19458
CLE Browns6-42-1507
BAL Ravens4-50-2101

Bengals playoff odds by seed

How often each seed came up, out of 100 seasons.

  1. 1st seed bye week10
  2. 2nd seed16
  3. 3rd seed17
  4. 4th seed last home game15
  5. 5th seed15
  6. 6th seed13
  7. 7th seed8
  8. Miss the playoffs6

How far the Bengals can go

The Bengals playoff odds for each round, out of 100. We play the bracket in every season, up to the Super Bowl.

  1. Make the playoffs94in 100
  2. Reach the divisional round57in 100
  3. Reach the conference title game29in 100
  4. Reach the Super Bowl15in 100
  5. Win the Super Bowl8in 100

Bengals remaining schedule

The Bengals have 9 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 42-40-1, the 14th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

WeekDateOpponentTheir recordChance to win
10Sun, Nov 15vs Steelers6-2 63 in 100
11Mon, Nov 23at Commanders3-5-1 67 in 100
12Sun, Nov 29vs Saints3-6 76 in 100
13Sun, Dec 6at Browns6-4 65 in 100
14Sun, Dec 13vs Chiefs7-2 55 in 100
15Sun, Dec 20at Panthers4-5 63 in 100
16Sun, Dec 27at Colts3-7 69 in 100
17Thu, Dec 31vs Ravens4-5 77 in 100
18Sun, Jan 10vs Browns6-4 74 in 100

Every game this week, with kickoff times in your own time zone, is on the NFL games this week page. The Bengals bye is in week 6. Every team's week off is in our guide to NFL bye weeks 2026.

Bengals results and how their playoff chances moved

Each row shows the playoff chance once that week was complete.

WeekDateOpponentResultPlayoff chance after
1Sun, Sep 13vs BuccaneersWon 33 to 2753 in 100
2Sun, Sep 20at TexansWon 20 to 673 in 100 +20
3Sun, Sep 27at SteelersLost 27 to 3059 in 100 -14
4Sun, Oct 4vs JaguarsLost 17 to 2251 in 100 -8
5Sun, Oct 11at DolphinsWon 31 to 2457 in 100 +6
7Sun, Oct 25at RavensWon 35 to 1382 in 100 +24
8Sun, Nov 1vs TitansWon 43 to 3687 in 100 +5
9Sun, Nov 8vs FalconsWon 34 to 1794 in 100 +7

Tiebreakers in play for the Bengals

These ties are being broken in today's standings.

  • BehindPIT The Steelers are ahead of CIN the Bengals on head to head.

The steps follow the league's tiebreaking procedures. See every step or read our guide to NFL tiebreakers.

How we got these numbers

Three steps, run again after every game window.

  1. Rate every teamWe rate every team from the points in its games so far.
  2. Play out the seasonEvery game left is played out 50,000 times.
  3. Seed every seasonEach of those seasons is seeded with the real NFL tiebreakers.

The result

CIN 94 in 100

The Bengals made the playoffs in 94 of every 100 seasons.

Clinched and eliminated are proved, not played out. They and the magic numbers are worked out another way. They are proved from every result still possible, so they are certain, not likely. How the proof works

✓Checked Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET. Our seeding matches the official standings for 32 of 32 teams. How it works

Bengals playoff questions

What are the Bengals playoff chances right now?

The Bengals make the playoffs in 94 of every 100 seasons we play out. That is a 94% chance. At 6-2 they hold the AFC 6th seed today. Updated Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET.

Can the Bengals still make the playoffs?

Yes. The Bengals make the playoffs 94 times in 100 in our runs. They are 2 games ahead of the Patriots, the first team outside the playoff places.

What do the Bengals need to make the playoffs?

In our runs a final record of 10-7 got in 86 times in 100, 9-8 got in 41 times in 100 and 8-9 got in 7 times in 100. If they win every game left, they are in.

Are the Bengals eliminated from the playoffs?

No. The Bengals are not eliminated. The Bengals cannot be knocked out by their own results yet. Even if they lose all 9 games they have left, there is still a way in. They are 2 games ahead of the Patriots, the first team outside the playoff places.

What is the Bengals magic number?

The Bengals magic number is 7. 7 more wins put the Bengals in the playoffs, whatever any other team does. 6 more wins could be enough if a tiebreaker goes their way. If they win all 9 games they have left, the Bengals win the AFC North whatever any other team does.

What are the Bengals playoff scenarios for week 10?

The Bengals play vs the Steelers on Sun, Nov 15. A win lifts their chance to 97 in 100 and a loss drops it to 87. With the other key results added, the best case this week is 97 in 100 and the worst case is 87.

Can the Bengals clinch a playoff spot this week?

No. The Bengals cannot clinch a playoff spot in week 10. Even if every game goes their way, there is still a way for them to miss.

Can the Bengals be eliminated this week?

No. The Bengals cannot be eliminated in week 10. Whatever happens, they will still have a way into the playoffs.

Who should Bengals fans root for this week?

No other game in week 10 moves the Bengals by more than 1 in 100.

Who do the Bengals play next?

Next they play vs the Steelers on Sun, Nov 15. A win lifts the chance to 97 in 100. A loss drops it to 87.

Can the Bengals still win the AFC North?

The Bengals win the AFC North in 58 of 100. They are 2nd in the AFC North, level with the Steelers but behind on a tiebreaker.

What are the Bengals Super Bowl chances?

The Bengals reach the Super Bowl in 15 of every 100 seasons we play out and win it in 8.

How hard is the Bengals remaining schedule?

The Bengals have 9 games left. Their opponents have a combined record of 42-40-1, the 14th hardest schedule left of the 32 teams.

More playoff chances